Inflating The Bull

The DJIA, SP500, and NQ100 remain in the confusing zone between price mechanics and value. They are related but can produce price patterns which may not match what various economic performance measures of the general economy. The rally from the March lows are a part of the mechanics of running out of panic selling and the natural betting on prices as a function of comparison shopping.

There is a vague uncomfortable feeling running through the markets which stem from a determination not be fooled again and the ability to identify a low risk opportunity with traction. The thought of enduring the break and missing the rally is almost to much to take, let alone watching the Fed and Treasury insure the wealth of the likes of Goldman and Morgan. The boomers know that this time they cannot simply apply rally lotion to these markets after the thundering losses suffered by investors across the board. The financial health of state and local governments have an appalling smell which can only be compared against a particularly unpleasant historical period. These real dilemmas make the notion of bull market anew difficult to inflate.


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